“I have taken to living by my wits.”
From “The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes“, by Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, 1892
September 28, 2018 – Trump Administration Touts Crime Rate Drop
Tout: attempt to sell (something), typically by pestering people in an aggressive or bold manner.
It’s October, 2018, and crime is dropping to the lowest levels ever seen worldwide. I’ve appended multiple current news accounts below to support that assertion.
It’s why the hit piece who’s headline is featured immediately above connects the crime drop with the hated Trump, and queasily infers he’s making up or exaggerating the claim.
In Tallahassee, Florida, where crime has dropped 24% in the last year and a half, we’re told that the drop is being driven by “several new strategies, including hiring new officers, establishing the Violent Crime Response Task Force, and enhanced neighborhood partnerships and through programs like TEMPO, Operation Safe Neighborhoods, Neighborhood Public Safety Initiative“.
In Southampton, New York, a 20% drop in crime over the last year is attributed to “New Policing Strategies.”
And in Texas, it’s attributed to “innovative criminal justice reforms“.
Putting forth those local reasons is part of a propaganda technique called “Compartmentalization.”
They’re local plausible-deniability excuses systematically put forward by a wholly-controlled-and-coopted Media establishment in an attempt to mask the larger, wider trend, which is taking place concurrently worldwide, along with similar drops in alcohol consumption, drug use, the divorce rate, trust in the Establishment, and numerous other epochal positive changes, all tracked daily in this thread for over four years, now.
It’s my hope and quite reasonable surmise that reading the facts surrounding the situation will educate at least a subset of the formerly uneducated, and that further positive changes will be effected by that rise in awareness.
I would suggest that sentences such as the one that follows are not going to have any effect on that rising awareness, other than to further speed it:
“Thus, while it may be that this marks a return to yearly decreases in violent crime, one year is too short a time frame to be considered a trend.”
They’ll be saying that shit in the press conference where they lost the whole thing, and then go on claiming they haven’t lost, at all.
But they’ll no longer be in power – they won’t be connected us from the top any more. And, as the years go by, they’ll fade away, and no one will even remember them.
September 12, 2018 – Florida – Tallahassee crime rate fell 10 percent in first six months of 2018
While the data still must be reviewed by FDLE, early numbers indicate that Tallahassee’s crime rate fell approximately 14 percent in 2017, putting the crime rate at a five-year low.
Of note, the TPD report shows that overall, crime is down 10.3 percent for the first six months of 2018, which city officials say marks the second consecutive year the percentage has dropped by double-digits, year over year.
Total violent crime dropped 24.4 percent from the first six months of 2017 in comparison to the first six months of 2018 and total property crime dropped 7.6 percent.
According to a press release from the city of Tallahassee, the same statistics reported to FDLE also showed an improvement in TPD’s “clearance rate,” which refers to cases solved or closed. TPD’s 2018 clearance rate has increased to 21.2 percent versus 16.1 percent in 2017.
During Wednesday’s Public Safety Update at the City Commission meeting, TPD Chief Michael DeLeo credited the drop in crime to several new strategies, including hiring new officers, establishing the Violent Crime Response Task Force, and enhanced neighborhood partnerships and through programs like TEMPO, Operation Safe Neighborhoods, Neighborhood Public Safety Initiative.
September 14, 2018 – New York – New Policing Strategies May Be Key To Drop In Major Crime Stats By 20% In Southampton Town
Major crime statistics are down dramatically in the Town of Southampton. Crime statistics, year to date, are down by 20% compared to this time last year.
“This significant drop in the number of major crimes is a credit to the community policing and intelligence led policing strategies adopted by Police Chief Steve Skrynecki,” said Southampton Town Supervisor Jay Schneiderman. “We continue to see the benefits of connecting with neighborhoods while using modern technology and analytics to prevent crime.”
To that end, the Southampton Town Police Department recently held a barbecue and youth event to commemorate “National Night Out” at Ludlam Park in Flanders. “It gave our officers a chance to mingle and connect on a one-on-one level with community youth and adults. It is about building trust and cooperation, working together to improve quality of life conditions,” said Chief Steve Skrynecki.
The Southampton Police Department with funding support from OLA of Eastern Long Island, the Organization of Latino Americans, is planning to equip patrol cars with Spanish translation devices to help break down language barriers when responding to calls.
“The first step to serving a community is to establish clear communication. Breaking down language barriers is essential to maximize public safety,” the Chief said.
The major crimes reduction so far this year includes a drop in grand larceny from 173 incidents at this time in 2017 to 152 this year. The number of assaults dropped from 21 in 2017 to 11 so far this year, residential burglaries dropped from 49 to 30, robberies from 7 to 4 and sex crimes dropped from 8 to 2.
September 28, 2018 – Trump Administration Touts Crime Rate Drop – Forbes
On September 24, the Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI) released its annual national crime statistics for 2017. The Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) statistics show that major crime rates are down nationwide with both violent crime and property crime rates in decline.
The national crime rate peaked in 1991 and has generally trended downward with crime last year at its lowest rate since 1967. The total crime rate fell 3% in 2017, with the violent crime rate down 1% and the murder/nonnegligent manslaughter rate down 2%. 2017 saw the seventh-lowest violent crime rate in the past half-century. Property crime, which constitutes the bulk of major crimes, fell 4%.
Crime rates nationally and at the state and metropolitan level fluctuate year to year, with trends typically emerging after several years of data. Further, linking trends to specific policy shifts or events is difficult, given the complexity involved with victims, criminals, and the criminal justice system, including law enforcement and incarceration. For instance, while crime rates have fallen since 1991, there were increases in violent crime in 2005-2006, 2012, and 2015-2016. Thus, while it may be that this marks a return to yearly decreases in violent crime, one year is too short a time frame to be considered a trend.
Some analysts have attributed the violent crime rate increases in 2015 and 2016 to a poor national climate regarding law enforcement and crime—the so-called “Ferguson Effect”—with Pew Research finding in a 2017 poll that some 76% of U.S. law enforcement officers indicating that they are more reluctant to use necessary force while 72% responded that they or their colleagues were less likely to stop and question suspicious people.
Attorney General Jeff Sessions delivered remarks to about 200 law enforcement officials at the National Public Safety Partnership Symposium on Monday, saying, “Make no mistake about it: President Trump is a law and order president.” Sessions was critical of the past administration, noting, “I believe that American law enforcement is unsurpassed… We’ve had some really confused thinking in recent years. We intend to put an end to that… Big mistakes were made, some saw police as the problem. And as a result, in the last two years of the previous administration, the violent crime rate went up by nearly seven percent… That’s what was happening when we took office.” Sessions shifted to observing that the FBI’s crime data showed a drop in violent crime and murder, remarking, “That is something that we all should celebrate. Those are the kind of results you get when you support law enforcement.”
At the state level, the major crime rate fell in 39 states, including Texas, a state that has pursued innovative criminal justice reforms for the past 11 years, resulting in the closure of eight adult prisons and many more juvenile lockups. Texas’ overall crime rate is now at its lowest level since 1966, according to FBI statistics. Continued focus on prioritizing prison for violent offenders while directing resources towards proven programs that reduce recidivism should result in further public safety gains.